Tuesday, January 15, 2008

HD Format Wars are over! Now what?

UPDATE FEBRUARY 20, 2008

Vidiots.us original prediction, just before the Consumer Electronics Show, that the "HD wars are over proved correct", but our assumption that the HD-DVD would continue as a complementary format in information technology will be proven wrong because we vidiots did not contemplate the magnitude of the "surge" toward the winning format. The move to Blu-Ray by Warner Brothers studio took the market over the tipping point. See Bloomberg February 18 article for details.

We would like to note that Toshiba's stock skyrocketed after the news of their probable caving in on HD-DVD? The consolidation of support behind a single HD optical format will quickly become good news for consumers, retailers, and manufacturers alike. Toshiba has now declared that it will not refund early adopters of the HD-DVD players

In a perfect world, SONY would buy all rights to the Toshiba brand including the HD-DVD name and than help early adopters convert to Blu-Ray. This would consolidate cooperation between SONY and Toshiba, thereby amplifying the advancement of the technology. SONY would then also be free to use the more descriptive and elegant name HD-DVD in the future!

Microsoft has also lost big time in the collapse of HD-DVD to Blu-Ray, because their X-Box gaming console used the HD-DVD format. In our opinion Microsoft will have to switch from HD-DVD to Blu-Ray in their X-Box or give up X-Box altogether!

Microsoft appears to be floundering in several areas: Vista, Yahoo acquisition, and soon X-Box. It seems unreasonable to view them as a monopoly. They have become co-stars with SONY, Nintendo, Google, Ebay/Paypal/Skype, Apple, AT&T and others in screenplay that is the evolving "age of videography".

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